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Modeling Populations' Changing Values, Beliefs, & Intentions | | We live and work in a culturally, complex human environment with constantly changing situations and dynamic interactions with differing values, goals, beliefs, emotions, expectations. This is the world of Sociocultural Evolution! | The ability to predict the range of emergent population behaviors, perceptions, beliefs, and influencers based on group dynamics provides a competitive advantage by using sociocultural understanding and sociocultural awareness to drive the focus of exploring and evaluating potential impacts of processes, technologies, and communication patterns on populations of interest. Population Meso-Modeling The idea behind multiple populations’ stratagemical behavior monitoring is a need to understand and be aware of the causal mechanisms of our interactions on population perceptions and the capability to identify and modify those perceptions and beliefs through appropriate interventions to influence population behaviors and eliminate or reduce the 2nd and 3rd order cultural effects (pdf - 26kb). Figure 1: Meso-Population Modeling (click on image to enlarge) 
Figure 2: Interdependent Factors. Meso-modeling falls between individual and societal models of human populations and into the small group category. The sociocultural factors influencing small groups can be seen to encompass three levels. The three levels of interdependent factors (Figure 2) - Individual Factors: (e.g. individual wants, wishes, preferences, values); Immediate environment: (e.g., family, friends, co-workers, rules); and Society and Culture: (e.g. religion, beliefs, social laws, legal laws, norms). How Does the PEM Lens work? Figure 3: Reactive Planning using PreAct Intelligent Software Suite.Figure 4: Model of Activities and Information. |
